I'm not so sure about the second of those assertions. I think that most broad sociopolitical movements require not only the right circumstances to give force to the thing, but also a figure who can focus and represent that imperative. So - for instance - in order to happen at that time, the civil rights movement needed Martin Luther King. Without Gandhi, political change in the sub-continent would not have taken place when it did. Had Pol Pot died in childhood, things would have been very different around his neighbourhood.
There's no way of telling for sure about this of course - but I do believe that the history of Germany would have been different (though not necessarily less fraught) without Hitler.



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