Originally Posted by
DapperDrake
I don't think you can really draw a comparison between mp3 players and eBook readers, sadly. At least I think its fair to say eBook readers will not take off in the same way that mp3 players did.
1)The younger generations, who are the early adopters of technology, don't read as much as they listen to music – its “cool” to listen to a heavy metal band at 120db on an mp3 player but somehow I don't see kids deriving the same kudos from reading an eBook.
2)Any music is easily available, legally or otherwise, in the mp3 format. How many books that are in the book store right now are easily available in a single, free, eBook format? Its not like you can take a paperback home, rip it to pdf and share it with the world (not that I'm endorsing piracy but lets face it, piracy made mp3 players possible).
3)Mp3 already had a popular base before the mp3 player came along, everyone I knew in the years immediately preceding mp3 players had vast library's of mp3's on their computer – I know nobody that has even a single eBook (except myself).
4)The eBook reader devices cost way too much, even the original mp3 players that could barely hold a CD's worth of music and were the size of a pack of cards were affordable.
5)Ebook reader devices are too unwieldy, an mp3 player can be put in your pocket and be barely noticeable but eBook readers are chunky because of the screen – foldable or rollable displays are definitely needed.
6)Publishers are loath to put their books in an eBook format because they, probably rightly, fear piracy. The only piracy protection they have is the fact that you can't readily convert a paperback into an eBook, most of the pirates work is done already if the publisher releases an ebook.
Despite all this I think there is a definite niche, and not a small one, for eBook readers. I long for the day when decent eBook readers are affordable and have folding/rolling screens, this may still be years off but at that time I can assure you I won't be buying any more "real" books.