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Memories of the 28th Century

Or Rationality

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After posting the blog on inferiority, I started wondering if I should have not posted it. Then the thought came that maybe I should have advocated rebuilding the mental hospital system. Then I thought, nah, that was bad. But just now I saw an article about MAGA people looking for Trump to take action in his comments about prosecuting Obama, and I realized, again, that closing the mental hospitals was a mistake.

I certainly did not support Obama, and I think that he made some major mistakes, but for Trump to accuse him of treason is absurd. It would be very easy to show that Thump has committed treason, but the case against Obama is tenuous, at best.

After this thought, I started to think that Trump’s suggestion of prosecution of Obama is sufficiently irrational that this idea is enough for him to be thrown out of office, except that the congressional Republicans wouldn’t go along, but it this may make Tromp lose some more support.

We don’t need a president who makes lamebrained comments about his predecessors. The responsibility of the president is to carry out the acts of Congress. But the president is only one of many examples of a low level of rationality. We just have to look at the news to see how people have abandoned rational thought.

I remembered again today how I considered if countries were run by rational people, then they would find ways to settle disputes without resorting to war, whether shooting or by trade.

A few years ago, I had a great time writing “The Gods Complain”, a short story about the Gods trying to pin down causes and ways to improve the atmosphere in the Middle East. They succeeded, but that was in a parallel world, so we don’t see the results here. That was about people demanding that their opinions were superior to the opinions of everyone international news and thought that people were finally becoming sane: the ethnic cleansing in Palestine was slower, and there were no active wars in that region. Then the rebellion in Syria started, and that continues, even though the elected government was tossed out, the rebels haven’t decided how to handle things. And that was before Russia invaded Ukraine and made another mess. There were a few little wars around the world, but fewer than usual.

Another big problem is that people overcomplicate things. That is, they fail to apply Occam’s Razor. And that applies to more than just ideas. Automobiles come to mind, and that has been a problem with the automobile industry for a long time. Electric automobiles were mostly abandoned in the early 20th century, because they were inconvenient to runs and had short range, and there were relatively expensive. Steam cars were abandoned in the 1920’s, because the manufacturers were greedy and tried to maximize profit per unit, so they piled on extras. That left us with internal combustion vehicles, even though they are complicated and expensive to build, compared with steam, but Henry Ford and others balanced costs and prices, so more people could buy more of them. When Doble was trying to sell cars for $5000, Ford was selling cars for less than $1000.

These days, we could have steam cars that would cost a quarter as much as an electric, and if it used propane to create the steam, it would produce no pollution. On the manufacturing side, a steam car uses old technology, so it can be built without special materials, and its production causes little pollution, unlike electric vehicles.

Comparing steam with internal combustion engines produces a similar result. internal combustion engines have hundreds of moving parts, while steam vehicles have about two dozen moving parts. More parts mean more cost to produce, and they produce more friction, which greatly reduces the theoretical efficiency of internal combustion engines. The cost of the engine is only one part of the cost of a vehicle, but steam engines have a huge power to weight advantage over other power plants.

It might also be a good idea to apply Occam’s Razor to other manufacturing decisions, but it takes money, also. Applying Occam’s Razor to political decisions is usually easier, and it saves money, rather than costing more

Comments

  1. tonywalt's Avatar
    The piece you’ve written tries to connect far too many unrelated issues — mental hospitals, Trump/Obama, global wars, Occam’s Razor, and even steam cars — and in doing so, it actually undermines itself. A few specific problems:

    Mental hospitals & politics – To suggest that “closing the mental hospitals was a mistake” because Trump made reckless comments conflates two entirely different issues. The deinstitutionalization of psychiatric patients in the U.S. was a long, complex process tied to civil rights, funding failures, and the growth of community-based care. Linking that to one politician’s irrational statement doesn’t follow logically.

    Treason accusations – You rightly say that Trump accusing Obama of treason is absurd. But then you undercut yourself by saying “it would be easy to show that Trump has committed treason.” Treason has a very specific legal meaning in the U.S. Constitution, and neither claim holds water. Overusing the word dilutes the seriousness of the charge.

    Presidential responsibility – You claim “the responsibility of the president is to carry out the acts of Congress.” That’s only partly true. The president is head of the executive branch, commander-in-chief, and has independent constitutional powers (veto, foreign policy leadership, executive orders). Reducing the role to “carry out Congress’s will” misstates the balance of power.

    Rational countries never go to war – History shows this is wishful thinking. States act out of interests, not pure rationality, and “rational” actors often go to war when they think the costs are worth it. World War II, for example, wasn’t a breakdown of rationality — it was the result of calculated aggression.

    Occam’s Razor misapplied – Occam’s Razor says “don’t multiply entities beyond necessity.” It doesn’t mean “the simplest technology is always best.” Technology adoption depends on economics, infrastructure, and consumer preference, not just moving parts.

    Steam vs. electric/internal combustion – Steam cars failed not only because of “greedy manufacturers” but because they were slow to start, had safety risks, and couldn’t scale easily. Internal combustion won out because it offered a better overall package (speed, range, fueling convenience). Electric cars today are succeeding not because they’re “complicated” but because battery and charging technology are finally catching up. Suggesting propane-powered steam cars as the clean alternative ignores efficiency losses and carbon emissions from propane production.