Minority President
by
, 06-24-2016 at 04:39 PM (1453 Views)
It was more than a year ago when I first thought that the 2016 presidential election would be very interesting, and it continues to look interesting. The polls have Hillary with a plurality, but she is at the limit of here favorability, and Trump is also at the limit of his favorability and bumping into his unfavorability numbers, so neither of them is likely to pick up many more votes.
Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson, has polled as high as 13%, and Jill Stein is polling close to five percent, as high as Nader ever got. It appears that Johnson is getting a decent amount of attention from the news media, and the amount of attention has been increasing.
Trump, polling in the mid 30's, doesn't seem to have increased his popularity in months, and the same may be true of Clinton, polling in the low 40's. At the same time, there are more legal problems for both of them, or more allegations that they broke laws. If you pay attention to some people, then Clinton should have been arrested yesterday, and Trump is about to be indicted for criminal fraud, but I doubt that either of them will be arrested between now and the November election; although Trump may be named in another suit. The investigations into Clinton's activities appear to be justifications for paychecks for a number of people, so they wouldn't do anything that might bring an end to the investigations. And Trump's biggest legal problem appears to be Trump University; it is difficult to predict such things with confidence, but he may face some civil liability there, or maybe not.
Neither of those two has done of said anything new, different, or interesting for some time, so it seems that we will have to wait for the party conventions.
But unless something major happens, the next president will win a minority of the popular vote, and if Johnson wins one or more of the right states the election will go to the House of Representatives, and that could be interesting. Let's all hope for that.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...tein-5952.html